By the Numbers: How AI-Related Debt is Changing the Bond Market

Capital expenditures by the five “hyperscalers”—Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle—have surged, at a scale with few precedents, according to data collected by Vanguard.
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Hyperscaler Borrowing Has Gone From Rounding Error to Market Driver

Bond issuance by Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and Oracle, and their share of U.S. investment-grade bond supply
Alphabet
Amazon
Meta
Microsoft
Oracle
Annual Hyperscaler Bond Issuance ($ Billions)
$0 $30 $60 $90 $120 $150 $50B $41.7B $47.9B $17.2B $20.1B $93.3B $132B 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Share of U.S. Investment-Grade Bond Supply
4% 4% 6% 2% 2% 6% 11% 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Hyperscaler Capital Expenditures (Actual and Consensus)
$0 $250B $500B $750B $1.0T $1.25T $97B $131B $159B $154B $241B $416B $777B $1.08T $1.19T $1.15T $1.17T Actual Bloomberg Consensus Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Notes: Hyperscalers include Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and Oracle. Forecasts for 2026 onward reflect Bloomberg consensus estimates.

Source: Vanguard calculations based on Bloomberg data as of July 31, 2026.
Notes: Chart based on annual bond issuance by Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and Oracle and their share of total U.S. investment-grade bond supply. 2026 reflects year-to-date issuance through July 31, 2026.

Source: Vanguard calculations based on Bloomberg data, as reported in “The AI Buildout Comes to the Bond Market,” August 19, 2026. 【1-dbd4c2】

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