Further Fed Stimulus Falls on Increasingly Barren Ground
Evidence mounts that, after 10 years of extremely low rates, the impact of more cuts is limited.
Tag: Recession
Market Moves
Plan Sponsors See Recession in Three Years, Lower Targets
NEPC survey finds LDI investors have better-funded plans.
Research
The Yield Curve Un-Inverts: Time to Celebrate?
Opinions differ on whether this change to a widely followed recession signal means the heat is off.
If the Rich Think a Recession Is Coming …
UBS survey of family offices says a majority foresee an economic slump in 2020.
Market Moves
What Recession? Forecasts See Only a Slowdown
Establishment outlooks find US will avoid an actual economic contraction up ahead.
Market Moves
60% of Americans Think a Recession Likely Will Hit in 2020
ABC/Washington Post poll results are similar to survey findings at the start of the Great Recession.
Companies’ Towering Debt Might Not Bring Widespread Defaults
Junk bonds do better when interest rates are low, like now, Nataxis finds.
Market Moves
Another Trump Tariff Hike Would Spark a Recession, Morgan Stanley Says
If the US lifts the levy to 25% on all Chinese imports, firm sees worldwide economic downturns.
Market Moves
Good News: A Fed Rate Cut May End the Inverted Yield Curve
Then, the 3-month Treasury could dip below the 10-year, and dispel this dreaded recession portent.
Market Moves
Ray Dalio Calls for Investing in Gold Amid Troubling Times
The hedge fund kingpin says the allure of stocks will wane.
Newsmakers
Exclusive: New Mexico Anticipates ‘Shallow Recession,’ Possibly by Next Year
CIO Vince Smith discusses how the council is insulating its portfolio against near-term market fluctuations.
Tepid Expansion Keeps the Next Recession at Bay, Says Yardeni
Frazzled by the 2008-09 nightmare, people have avoided excesses that set up the economy for a new plunge, the economist argues.
Market Moves
Dr. Doom Forecasts a Recession in 2020
Economist Nouriel Roubini sees a continued trade war and spiking oil prices as the catalysts.
Economic Expansion Sets Twin Records for Length—and Weakness
US GDP has been growing for 121 months in July, but the growth rate is a mere 2.3%.
Market Moves
What Would It Take for the Fed to Lower Rates? Very Bad News
In the face of White House pressure, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Clarida spells out the punk economy needed to loosen policy.