
Tag: Inverted Yield Curve


Did You Enjoy the July Rally? Too Bad It Was Temporary
Inflation, Fed rate hikes and an inverted yield curve are all undermining what seems like a new bull market, says Comerica’s Lynch.

Should We Even Care If the Yield Curve Inverts?
It’s a classic recession portent. But inversion’s predictive record is spotty.

Maybe an Inverted Yield Curve Isn’t an Ill Portent
The Fed has distorted the Treasury landscape, says a Bernstein savant. Without its bond buying, the 10-year would be yielding 3.7%.

Spreads Are Narrowing: Could We Get (Gulp) an Inverted Yield Curve?

Here’s Why Stocks Seem Set for a Mediocre 2020, if Not Worse
A so-so economy, low earnings growth, an un-inverted yield curve, and a stand-pat Fed are part of the mix for a ho-hum year.

S&P 500 Dividend Yield Surmounts the 30-Year Treasury
The last time that happened was during the financial crisis, Bespoke says.

Pay No Attention to the Inverted Yield Curve, Some Economists Say
Shiller, Yardeni, Yellen, and El-Erian trash this feared recession signal as off-base nowadays.

US Negative Interest Rates Would Be a Disaster, El-Erian Warns
Allianz economist notes decline of yields and worries they might crop up in America.

Good News: A Fed Rate Cut May End the Inverted Yield Curve
Then, the 3-month Treasury could dip below the 10-year, and dispel this dreaded recession portent.

A Contrary Signal to the Baleful Inverted Yield Curve
The spread between BBB corporates and 10-year Treasuries is shrinking.
Inverted Yield Curve Puzzle: Higher Short-Term Yields
In this week’s recession scare, everyone focuses on the 10-year Treasury. But why are yields on T-bills for 12 months and below so high?