Tag: Inverted Yield Curve

Inflation, Fed rate hikes and an inverted yield curve are all undermining what seems like a new bull market, says Comerica’s Lynch.

It’s a classic recession portent. But inversion’s predictive record is spotty.

The Fed has distorted the Treasury landscape, says a Bernstein savant. Without its bond buying, the 10-year would be yielding 3.7%.

A so-so economy, low earnings growth, an un-inverted yield curve, and a stand-pat Fed are part of the mix for a ho-hum year. 

The last time that happened was during the financial crisis, Bespoke says.

Shiller, Yardeni, Yellen, and El-Erian trash this feared recession signal as off-base nowadays.

Allianz economist notes decline of yields and worries they might crop up in America.

Then, the 3-month Treasury could dip below the 10-year, and dispel this dreaded recession portent.

The spread between BBB corporates and 10-year Treasuries is shrinking.