Risk
And Now, to Brighten the Gloom, a Bullish Take
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee makes the plucky case for a 20% rally.
Tag: S&P 500
Risk
Are We Reprising the Rotten Aughts Market?
Bespoke wonders if the past has something not so pleasant to teach us.
Asset Allocation
The ‘Dumb Money’ Tops the Sophisticates in the Market, BofA Says
Retail investors are still buying the dips, and that has been a winning strategy, the firm finds.
Asset Allocation
Bonds Stink as a Refuge From Stocks, but BlackRock Sees a Work-Around
The firm makes a case for TIPS and Chinese government paper, as alternatives.
News
Analysts Shrink Projections for First Quarter Earnings Growth
Those nice double-digit results we’ve enjoyed are so 2021, they say.
Why Not to Worry About Slowing Earnings Growth
Corporate profits are falling back to a more normal pace (absent some nightmare scenario intruding).
Asset Allocation
Spinoff City: More Companies Should Shed Subsidiaries, Says Goldman
Divesting noncore units is a good way to boost lagging profit margins, the firm declares.
Risk
Just How Would a Ukraine War Affect Stocks?
History says it wouldn’t be so bad, per LPL’s Detrick—but his stats show it’s worse when the US ends up in a conflict.
The Case for the Big Five’s Continued Dominance
The kings of the tech realm have suffered stock slides but still command powerful advantages.
Risk
Stop Buying on the Dips, Says Evercore—It’s Not Safe
The market has more to fall, so investing now makes no sense, according to the firm’s technical analyst, Rich Ross.
Risk
Why the 2022 Market Might Be Low-Growth
Economist Hugh Johnson and Goldman’s David Kostin sketch out a muted year in the mid-single digits.
Risk
Why a Down January May Not Be a Bad 2022 Portent After All
Recent poor-performing first months haven’t led to rotten results for the rest of the year, with only one exception, LPL says.
Newsmakers
Endowment Index Rises 14.59% in 2021
Oil and gas commodities led all asset classes with a 75.59% gain, while gold lost nearly 4%.
Risk
The Case Against a Bear Market, Per Ned Davis
Stocks have had a rotten start this year, but they won’t get too much worse, the research firm says.
Risk
Will the Federal Reserve Go Too Far?
What if its tightening program squelches a now-imperiled economic recovery? Natixis’ Lavorgna wonders.