Asset Allocation
Broken China? Maybe Things Aren’t So Bad
Despite crackdowns on businesses and too much debt, the nation should resume its ascent, says NEPC.
Tag: GDP
Market Moves
Puny Q3 GDP Increase? Just a Bump in the Upward-Inclining Road, Says ING
Why the bank thinks 2021’s final period will be much better. Hint: consumers.
Hey, Inflation Might Be Good for Us, Says Paulsen
Price boosts of 3% or so would spur the economy and stocks, the Leuthold strategist argues.
Market Moves
Why 3Q Earnings May Undershoot Estimates
That has happened just once since 2009, but CFRA’s Stovall expects a re-run.
How Badly Do Rising Prices and Slowing Economic Growth Harm Stocks?
It’s not pretty: History shows that this bad combo pares equities’ median returns by 2%, Goldman says.
Asset Allocation
The Fed Will ‘Wimp Out’ on Tightening, Roubini Predicts
Dr. Doom’s latest call: Forget about rate hikes or tapering, at least anytime soon.
A New Contortion for GDP Growth: A Z-Shaped Recovery
Forget the V and U trajectories of yore, LPL’s Gilbert says.
Market Moves
The Inflation Threat Is Hooey, Even as Money Supply Climbs, Says Savant
Sure, the Fed has created more dollars, but that doesn’t mean they’ll lead to a price spiral, argues David Waddell.
Market Moves
Sure, Delta Cut Goldman’s GDP Forecast, but It’s Not Too Bad
Compared with anemic economic growth in the past decade, things are still looking up.
Asset Allocation
What Is the 10-Year Treasury’s Falling Yield Telling Us?
Not that a slowing economy is ahead, says BCA Research. The answer, it thinks, is ‘more subtle.’
Market Moves
Will Pent-Up Consumer Demand Really Supercharge the Economy? Uh-uh, Economist Warns
Stephen Roach: A lot of consumer spending already has occurred and the federal aid package will be just a temporary boost.
World Trade Post-Pandemic: Same Old Problems, Now Worse
A surging China elbows others, the deficit-burdened US struggles, and Brexit is in the pits.
Pandemic Savings Are So Big They’ll Jet-Propel the Economy, Study Says
Some $2.9 trillion, hoarded by rich nations’ consumers, will fuel post-virus spending, Bloomberg Economics thinks.
Everybody Says Higher Interest Rates Are Coming … But When and By How Much?
There are three reasons why, after long dwelling at subterranean levels, the cost of money will eventually poke its head up.
Coronavirus - COVID-19
IMF Upgrades Global Economic Forecast for 2021
Amid ‘exceptional uncertainty,’ World Economic Outlook projects 2021 growth of 5.5% after a 3.5% contraction in 2020.