Risk
Will the Fed’s Just-Started Tightening Squelch the Stock Market?
Probably not, says LPL’s Detrick, as he trots out some historical precedents.
Tag: Interest Rates
Risk
How Escalating Inflation Can Produce a Recession
Natixis’ Lavorgna sketches out how higher prices shrinks consumers’ income—and imperil the economy.
Why Not to Worry About Slowing Earnings Growth
Corporate profits are falling back to a more normal pace (absent some nightmare scenario intruding).
Asset Allocation
The 10-Year Will Hit 2.5% This Year, and Maybe 3%, Per Gundlach
The Bond King sees rising rates (belatedly) helping to fuel the benchmark Treasury yield’s advance.
Risk
How to Rate-Hike Proof Your Portfolio, Per Northern Trust
The firm’s remedy: Go for junk bonds and natural resources stocks, as the Fed tightens.
Risk
Stop Buying on the Dips, Says Evercore—It’s Not Safe
The market has more to fall, so investing now makes no sense, according to the firm’s technical analyst, Rich Ross.
Risk
The Case Against a Bear Market, Per Ned Davis
Stocks have had a rotten start this year, but they won’t get too much worse, the research firm says.
Manager Selection
What Will Differentiate the Best Alternatives Investors in the Next 10 Years?
We ask Anton Pil, global head of alternatives for JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Risk
Will the Federal Reserve Go Too Far?
What if its tightening program squelches a now-imperiled economic recovery? Natixis’ Lavorgna wonders.
Risk
Don’t Worry: The Economy Will Boom Up Ahead, Says Dimon
Despite widespread unease, the JPM chief has faith in strong household finances and the Fed.
How CLOs, Despite Seeming Risky, Got to Be So Popular
In a triumph for structured finance, these packages of junk loans have up to now confounded any perils.
Asset Allocation
Junk Bonds Will Return as Much as Stocks in 2022, Says Northern Trust
Outpaced last year, high yield is in solid shape at a time when stocks may come back to earth, the firm argues.
Risk
How Low Can You Go? Strategists Compete for Lowest 2022 GDP Growth
At the head of the pessimistic pack is Natixis’ Lavorgna, with a scant 2% projection.
Asset Allocation
Why the Fed May Raise Rates Sooner Than You Think
Current projections say there will be two hikes in the latter part of 2022.
About Those Fed Rate Hikes: They Might Take Longer Than You Think
The market expects them to start next year. Maybe not, says LPL’s Gillum.