Risk
Should We Even Care If the Yield Curve Inverts?
It’s a classic recession portent. But inversion’s predictive record is spotty.
Tag: 10-Year Treasury
Asset Allocation
Why Bond Prices, Shellacked Lately, Are Finally Turning Around
Stocks have fallen so much that fixed income seems to be resuming its status as a safe haven, analysts contend.
Asset Allocation
Asset Allocators Want to Boost Their Stakes in EM Debt, Says Vontobel
Some 60% of U.S. institutional investors aim to up their exposure over the next two years, per a study.
Risk
Maybe an Inverted Yield Curve Isn’t an Ill Portent
The Fed has distorted the Treasury landscape, says a Bernstein savant. Without its bond buying, the 10-year would be yielding 3.7%.
Asset Allocation
Bonds Stink as a Refuge From Stocks, but BlackRock Sees a Work-Around
The firm makes a case for TIPS and Chinese government paper, as alternatives.
Asset Allocation
Why Former Bond King Bill Gross Says Treasury Yields Will Double
High inflation won’t abate soon, he says in new book, which also covers his ill-starred history after PIMCO.
Asset Allocation
The 10-Year Will Hit 2.5% This Year, and Maybe 3%, Per Gundlach
The Bond King sees rising rates (belatedly) helping to fuel the benchmark Treasury yield’s advance.
Risk
Spreads Are Narrowing: Could We Get (Gulp) an Inverted Yield Curve?
With short rates climbing faster than long ones, this recession harbinger isn’t out of the question.
Risk
Stop Buying on the Dips, Says Evercore—It’s Not Safe
The market has more to fall, so investing now makes no sense, according to the firm’s technical analyst, Rich Ross.
Asset Allocation
Byron Wien: Gold Price Will Hit Record This Year
The Wall Street sage issues a prediction for the metal among his 10 expected ‘surprises’ for 2022.
Risk
Inflation, the Public’s Main Bogeyman, Is Peaking, Says Wall Street Savant
Commodities are starting to drop in price and new supply will ease housing costs, argues economist David Rosenberg.
Asset Allocation
The Fed Will ‘Wimp Out’ on Tightening, Roubini Predicts
Dr. Doom’s latest call: Forget about rate hikes or tapering, at least anytime soon.
Asset Allocation
What Is the 10-Year Treasury’s Falling Yield Telling Us?
Not that a slowing economy is ahead, says BCA Research. The answer, it thinks, is ‘more subtle.’
Asset Allocation
Ackman: Delta Variant Won’t Stop a Roaring Economy
Recovery stocks are the place to be, says hedge fund chief, in contrast to his jeremiads of 2020.
Market Moves
Market Killjoys: BlackRock, Goldman, RBC, Morgan Stanley
They all see a halt to the strong stock rally—anyway the third quarter is usually the worst.