Warning: Tossing Russian Banks From the International System Could Backfire
Credit Suisse says removing the lenders from SWIFT may lead to problems similar to the 2008 and 2020 panics.
Risk
No, War Won’t Make the Fed Ease Off Rate Hikes, Says Goldman
Higher inflation will trump any geopolitical problems, the firm believes.
Will the Russian Invasion Hold Back the Fed’s Tightening?
Maybe it won’t jump by 0.5 point. Amid new worries about the world economy, questions swirl about how high the central bank will go.
Why Consumer Confidence Is Dropping (It’s Not Just Inflation)
People think the economy’s big gains are behind us, says Comerica’s top economist.
Rising Crypto-Equity Correlation Raises Bitcoin Stability Concerns
Am IMF report warns increasing crypto correlation with stocks limits its diversification benefits and increases volatility.
Ukraine Tensions Renew a Market Slide
After two up days as hope flourished about a resolution, the S&P 500 slips 1.4%.
Just How Would a Ukraine War Affect Stocks?
History says it wouldn’t be so bad, per LPL’s Detrick—but his stats show it’s worse when the US ends up in a conflict.
How to Rate-Hike Proof Your Portfolio, Per Northern Trust
The firm’s remedy: Go for junk bonds and natural resources stocks, as the Fed tightens.
Black Gold Indeed: Oil Finally Seems Poised to Hit $100
Restrained supply and ravenous demand likely will return it to three figures, says Canaccord.
Spreads Are Narrowing: Could We Get (Gulp) an Inverted Yield Curve?
With short rates climbing faster than long ones, this recession harbinger isn’t out of the question.
Stop Buying on the Dips, Says Evercore—It’s Not Safe
The market has more to fall, so investing now makes no sense, according to the firm’s technical analyst, Rich Ross.
Why the 2022 Market Might Be Low-Growth
Economist Hugh Johnson and Goldman’s David Kostin sketch out a muted year in the mid-single digits.
Why a Down January May Not Be a Bad 2022 Portent After All
Recent poor-performing first months haven’t led to rotten results for the rest of the year, with only one exception, LPL says.
Stock Market’s Lousy January Gets Year Off to a Blah Start
S&P 500 has its worst returns since ill-starred March 2020.
The Case Against a Bear Market, Per Ned Davis
Stocks have had a rotten start this year, but they won’t get too much worse, the research firm says.